- Georgia Southern is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Troy
- Troy vs. Georgia Southern Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Troy Trojans (2-7) visit Allen E. Paulson Stadium to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles (6-3) on Nov. 16 in Statesboro, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.
Georgia Southern is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Troy vs. Georgia Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Troy | +7.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | +240 |
| Georgia Southern | -7.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | -300 |
Troy vs Georgia Southern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Georgia Southern will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Georgia Southern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Troy vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Georgia Southern vs Troy and all games with BetMGM
Troy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Georgia Southern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Troy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Troy Player Prop Bets Today
- Landon Parker has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devonte Ross has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Zeriah Beason has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Damien Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Peyton Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Best Bets Today
- JC French has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Tyler Fromm has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- JC French has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Josh Dallas has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Troy is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -22.39% ROI
- Troy is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Troy is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Southern is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI).
- Georgia Southern is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 10.02% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern
Troy is 12-2 (.857) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .710
Troy is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .437
Troy is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .489
Troy is 3-7 (.300) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Troy
Georgia Southern is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
Georgia Southern is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .626
Georgia Southern is 5-2 (.714) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .522
Georgia Southern is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Matchup Notes for Troy vs. Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern’s RBs has gained 165 yards on 35 receptions (just 4.7 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among FBS RBs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 5.5 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Troy’s RBs has 12 receptions in 9 games (just 1.3 per game) this season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Troy’s RBs have just 14.7 receiving yards per game this season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 272.7 receiving yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends
Troy WRs have averaged 23.4 yards per reception (234 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Troy’s RBs has 12 receptions in 9 games (just 1.3 per game) this season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Troy’s RBs have just 14.7 receiving yards per game this season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 272.7 receiving yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Troy RBs have averaged 16.0 yards per reception (96 yards/6 catches) in the 1st half this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.3
Troy Skill Players have averaged 15.0 yards per reception (1,263 yards/84 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia Southern Skill Players have averaged 26.7 receptions per game (587/22) since the 2023 season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Georgia Southern WRs have averaged 19.5 receptions per game (428/22) since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
Georgia Southern Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Georgia Southern’s RBs has gained 165 yards on 35 receptions (just 4.7 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among FBS RBs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 5.5 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern Skill Players have been targeted 39.6 times per game (871/22) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.5
Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends
Troy opponents has averaged 31.1 Passing Attempts per TD (684 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.1
Troy has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (474 yards / 173 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Troy opponents averaged 33.5 Passing Attempts per TD (435 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Troy has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (151 yards / 64 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.8
Troy has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (12/249) this season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia Southern has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 127 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (37/705) since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/310) this season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Georgia Southern has allowed 272.7 Passing Yards per game (2,454/9) this season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 218.1
Georgia Southern has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 43 of their 765 carries (6%) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 3%
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