- UL Lafayette is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Troy
- Troy vs. Louisiana Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Troy Trojans (3-7) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (8-2) on Nov. 23 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST.
UL Lafayette is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
Bet now on UL Lafayette vs Troy & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Troy vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Troy | +10.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +310 |
| Louisiana | -10.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -400 |
Troy vs Louisiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and UL Lafayette, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Troy vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 87.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on UL Lafayette vs Troy and all games with BetMGM
Troy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+7.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Louisiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.15 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Troy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Troy Player Prop Bets Today
- Landon Parker has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devonte Ross has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Zeriah Beason has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Damien Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Peyton Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ben Wooldridge has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ben Wooldridge has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Terrance Carter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Lance LeGendre has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Troy is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -15.48% ROI
- Troy is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Troy is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UL Lafayette is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.45 Units / -4.11% ROI).
- Louisiana is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 14.24% ROI
- Louisiana is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Louisiana is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana
Troy is 12-4 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Troy is 11-3 (.786) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– 37th-best in FBS; Average: .669
Troy is 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .554
Troy is 13-2 (.867) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 32nd-best in FBS; Average: .752
Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Troy
Louisiana is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .607
Louisiana is 8-2 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .569
Louisiana is 8-2 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .583
Louisiana is 7-1 (.875) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Matchup Notes for Troy vs. Louisiana
Louisiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.3% of 301 attempts this season — T-19th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s TEs have 77.1 receiving yards per game this season — T-5th-best among FBS TEs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 20.1 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s QBs has 1 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS teams. Troy’s defense has allowed 2.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Troy’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — 21st-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Troy’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — 21st-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Troy’s RBs has gained 155 yards on 15 receptions (10.3 YPR) this season — 22nd-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends
Troy’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — 21st-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Troy WRs had 4 receptions in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Troy’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — 21st-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Troy’s RBs has gained 155 yards on 15 receptions (10.3 YPR) this season — 22nd-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Troy’s RBs has gained 155 yards on 15 receptions (10.3 YPR) this season — 22nd-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.3% of 301 attempts this season — T-19th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana QBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Louisiana Skill Players had 128 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana QBs have rushed for 5 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends
Troy has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (500 yards / 183 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Troy opponents has averaged 32.4 Passing Attempts per TD (712 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.2
Troy sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Troy has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (177 yards / 74 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.8
Troy has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (500 yards / 183 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.8
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Louisiana sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Louisiana allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (5 completions/20 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
Louisiana has tackled opponents for a loss on just 36 of 331 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Louisiana sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most in FBS
Bet now on UL Lafayette vs Troy and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
