- Texas State is a -4 point favorite vs. UL Lafayette
- Louisiana vs. Texas State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (6-1) visit UFCU Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (4-3) on Oct. 29 in San Marcos, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Texas State is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Louisiana vs. Texas State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas State vs UL Lafayette & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Louisiana vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisiana | +4 -110 | 58.5 -110 | +150 |
| Texas State | -4 -110 | 58.5 -110 | -185 |
Louisiana vs Texas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UL Lafayette and Texas State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Louisiana vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texas State vs UL Lafayette and all games with BetMGM
Louisiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordan McCloud has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ismail Mahdi has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kole Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan McCloud has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Joey Hobert has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UL Lafayette is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -17.65% ROI).
- Louisiana is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 19.03% ROI
- Louisiana is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Louisiana is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI).
- Texas State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -28.19% ROI
- Texas State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
- Texas State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State
Louisiana is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551
Louisiana is 6-1 (.857) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .566
Louisiana is 11-4 (.733) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564
Louisiana is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .617
Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana
Texas State is 4-4 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .386
Texas State is 10-7 (.588) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Texas State is 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .674
Texas State is 10-5 (.667) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .548
Matchup Notes for Louisiana vs. Texas State
Texas State’s offense has thrown for 1,921 passing yards in 7 games (274.4 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 166.3 passing yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State have 274.4 receiving yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 166.3 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State’s QBs has thrown for 1,921 passing yards in 7 games (274.4 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 166.3 passing yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s offense has averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game this season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 0.9 passing TDs per game this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana TEs have been targeted 14 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana QBs have rushed for 4 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas State’s offense has thrown for 1,921 passing yards in 7 games (274.4 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 166.3 passing yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State have 274.4 receiving yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 166.3 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State’s QBs has thrown for 1,921 passing yards in 7 games (274.4 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 166.3 passing yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State has 2.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-4th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch this season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana has tackled opponents for a loss on just 20 of 222 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Louisiana allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most in FBS
Louisiana allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (5 completions/20 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%
Louisiana allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (5 completions/20 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
Louisiana has allowed just 9.7 yards per completion (1,164 yards/120 completions) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
Texas State Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 12 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Texas State has sacked opponents 25 times on 1st down since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 12 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Texas State opponents has averaged 38.7 Passing Attempts per TD (232 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.7
Texas State has averaged 3.2 sacks per game since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
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