UNLV vs San Jose St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

San Jose State wide receiver Nick Nash (3) runs during an NCAA football game against Southern California on Saturday, Aug. 26, 2023, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
(AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
  • UNLV is a -7.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
  • UNLV vs. San Jose State Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The UNLV Rebels (8-2) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (6-4) on Nov. 22 in San Jose, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST.

UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The UNLV vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

Bet now on San Jose St vs UNLV & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UNLV vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV-7.5 -11062.5 -115-300
San Jose State +7.5 -11062.5 -105+240

UNLV vs San Jose State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and San Jose St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UNLV vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on San Jose St vs UNLV and all games with BetMGM


  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+7.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UNLV Player Prop Bets Today

  • Ricky White III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best San Jose State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • UNLV is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 15.01% ROI
  • UNLV is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • UNLV is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.45 Units / -4.09% ROI).

  • San Jose State is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 9.69% ROI
  • San Jose State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • San Jose State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

UNLV is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .550

UNLV is 8-2 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .523

UNLV is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .540

UNLV is 15-7 (.682) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .580

San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

San Jose State is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .550

San Jose State is 12-10 (.545) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .445

San Jose State is 10-9 (.526) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .428

San Jose State is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .352

Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. San Jose State

San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 3,402 passing yards in 10 games (340.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 260.5 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 3,444 passing yards in 10 games (344.4 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 260.5 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s WRs has averaged 33.3 targets per game this season — 3rd-highest among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV has 134 receptions in 10 games (just 13.4 per game) this season — 10th-worst among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s RBs have just 8.5 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 18.6 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s RBs has 12 receptions in 10 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV has 134 receptions in 10 games (just 13.4 per game) this season — 10th-worst among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV WRs averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

UNLV RBs have rushed for 5 TDs on 50 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 8th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

UNLV QBs have averaged 47.2 rushing yards per game (472/10) in the 2nd half this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

UNLV WRs had no touchdowns on 18 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,180 yards / 152 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

San Jose State WRs had 9 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams

San Jose State QBs had 9 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams

San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 3,402 passing yards in 10 games (340.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 260.5 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (980 yards/137 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV defense has allowed 102 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS

UNLV’s opponents has attempted 39.1 passes per game this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.1

UNLV has allowed 102 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS

UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (32 completions/72 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

UNLV allowed passes of 20+ yards on 67 of 398 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 61 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 144 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

San Jose State has averaged 1.60 interceptions per game (16/10) this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

San Jose State has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 15 carries on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%

San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.