Utah State vs Temple Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

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Temple Head Coach Stan Drayton looks towards the field during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Duke in Durham, N.C., Friday, Sept. 2, 2022. (AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
(AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2024, 1:14 PM
  • Utah State is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Temple
  • Utah State vs. Temple Total(Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Utah State Aggies (1-2) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Temple Owls (0-3) on Sep. 21 in Philadelphia, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT.

Utah State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Utah State vs. Temple Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

Bet now on Temple vs Utah State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Utah State vs. Temple Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State-6.5 -10553.5 -110-225
Temple +6.5 -11553.5 -110+185

Utah State vs Temple Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 66.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Temple, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah State vs Temple Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Temple will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Temple vs Utah State and all games with BetMGM


  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Utah State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Robert Briggs Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jalen Royals has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Temple players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Temple Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Joquez Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI).

  • Utah State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Utah State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
  • Utah State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI

Temple Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Temple is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Temple is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Temple is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Temple is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Temple

Utah State is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Utah State is 1-4 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .502

Utah State is 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495

Utah State is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .632

Temple: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Temple is winless (0-5) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .502

Temple is winless (0-2) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .414

Temple is winless (0-7) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .506

Temple is winless (0-3) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .517

Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Temple

Temple has gained 590 yards on 59 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has averaged 6.9 targets per game since the 2023 season — 5th-highest among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple’s WRs has gained 443 yards on 43 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has 2.4 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Utah State has 2.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-best among FBS skill players. Temple’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has 2.4 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State’s WRs has 2.4 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Utah State has 2.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-best among FBS skill players. Temple’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 61 carries (inf Carries Per TD) this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20

Utah State’s WRs has 2.4 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has averaged 2.5 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-best among FBS offenses. Temple’s defense has allowed 2.2 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Temple Offensive Stats & Trends

Temple has gained 590 yards on 59 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Temple RBs have rushed for one TD on 30 carries in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Temple TEs were targeted 12.8 times per game (153/12) in the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Temple TEs have been targeted 73 times in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

Temple’s RBs has averaged 6.9 targets per game since the 2023 season — 5th-highest among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State has allowed 5 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most in FBS

Utah State has allowed 5 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 57 rushing attempts (16% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 30th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Utah State has allowed 234.7 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 131.7

Utah State has allowed 49 TDs in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in FBS

Temple Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Temple has allowed 11.0 touchdowns per interception (33 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Temple has no interceptions and 6 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5

Temple has no interceptions and 6 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Temple has intercepted 3 of 386 attempts (128.7 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4

Temple has no interceptions (96 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.