- Liberty is a -23.5 point favorite vs. UTEP
- UTEP vs. Liberty Total(Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The UTEP Miners (0-2) visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Lynchburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.
Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-105).
The UTEP vs. Liberty Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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UTEP vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTEP | +23.5 -115 | 57.5 -110 | +1100 |
| Liberty | -23.5 -105 | 57.5 -110 | -2500 |
UTEP vs Liberty Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Liberty, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTEP vs Liberty Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 81.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Liberty vs UTEP and all games with BetMGM
UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTEP Player Prop Bets Today
- Cade McConnell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Liberty players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Liberty Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Billy Lucas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaidon Salter has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Treon Sibley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- UTEP is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- UTEP is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- UTEP is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Liberty is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.23% ROI
- Liberty is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI
- Liberty is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -50% ROI
UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
UTEP is 2-7 (.182) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .517
UTEP is 2-6 (.182) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
UTEP is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
UTEP is 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP
Liberty is undefeated (10-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404
Liberty is undefeated (13-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .435
Liberty is undefeated (13-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
Liberty is 12-1 (.923) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .407
Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. Liberty
Liberty’s RBs has rushed for 421 yards on 63 carries (6.7 YPC) this season — T-27th-best among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense have allowed 5.9 YPC to RBs this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s RBs has rushed for 421 yards on 63 carries (6.7 YPC) this season — T-27th-best among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs has 17 receptions in 2 games (8.5 per game) this season — best among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 10.0 receptions per game this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends
UTEP WRs have no touchdowns on 17 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.3
UTEP Skill Players have averaged 27.5 yards per reception (55 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
UTEP RBs have been targeted 11.5 times per game (23/2) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2
UTEP Skill Players have 23 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
UTEP Skill Players have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (944 yards/53 catches) in close and late situations since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
Liberty Skill Players have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (346 yards/16 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Liberty WRs have averaged 23.8 yards per reception (309 yards/13 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.3
Liberty WRs have averaged 22.9 yards per reception (480 yards/21 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Liberty Skill Players have averaged 16.0 yards per reception (3,392 yards/212 catches) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Liberty WRs have averaged 18.1 yards per reception (2,885 yards/159 catches) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends
UTEP has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 12 of 35 carries (34%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 17%
UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 85 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
UTEP has averaged a sack every 7.4 pass attempts (37 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: 14.8
UTEP has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 31 of 365 attempts (9%) since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%
UTEP has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 12 of 35 carries (34%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
Liberty has not recorded a sack (59 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.9
Liberty has not recorded a sack (59 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.8
Liberty has sacked opposing QBs just once on 92 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Liberty has sacked opposing QBs just once on 92 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9
Liberty has allowed 17.6 yards per completion (352 yards/20 completions) this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.1
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