- The UTSA is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
- The UTSA vs. Tulsa Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The UTSA Roadrunners (3-4) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-5) on Oct. 26 in Tulsa, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
UTSA is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The UTSA vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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UTSA vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTSA | -7.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 | -350 |
| Tulsa | +7.5 -105 | 54.5 -105 | +260 |
UTSA vs Tulsa Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 71.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Tulsa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTSA vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 81.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTSA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Tulsa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tulsa have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTSA is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).
- UTSA is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -7.38% ROI
- UTSA is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
- UTSA is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tulsa is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -17.76% ROI).
- Tulsa is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -63.33% ROI
- Tulsa is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Tulsa is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa
UTSA is 3-7 (.300) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: .458
UTSA is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .476
UTSA is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .505
UTSA is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480
Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA
Tulsa is 2-9 (.182) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .540
Tulsa is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Tulsa is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .433
Tulsa is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .374
Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Tulsa
Tulsa’s RBs have 36.3 receiving yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 258.4 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 14.5 RAC this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs have 36.3 receiving yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 42.9 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s QBs has thrown for 1,871 passing yards in 7 games (267.3 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS teams. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 272.9 passing yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s WRs has 312 receptions in 20 games (15.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends
UTSA’s QBs has thrown for 1,871 passing yards in 7 games (267.3 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS teams. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 272.9 passing yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s WRs has 312 receptions in 20 games (15.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 14.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 13.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa Skill Players have no touchdowns on 19 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
Tulsa RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa RBs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-5th-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa’s RBs have 36.3 receiving yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 258.4 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 14.5 RAC this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends
UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 41 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
UTSA has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 207 attempts (5%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 59 of 241 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
UTSA has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 207 attempts (5%) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
UTSA has averaged 3.2 sacks per game since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.8
Tulsa has no interceptions (72 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.7
Tulsa has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 14 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Tulsa allowed passes of 20+ yards on 9 of 48 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Tulsa had no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.4
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