Virginia vs Virginia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Virginia Tech quarterback Kyron Drones (1) during NCAA football game against Rutgers, Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Rutgers won 35-16. (AP Photo/Vera Nieuwenhuis)
(AP Photo/Vera Nieuwenhuis)
  • Virginia Tech is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Virginia
  • Virginia vs. Virginia Tech Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Virginia Cavaliers (5-6) visit Lane Stadium/Worsham Field to take on the Virginia Tech Hokies (5-6) on Nov. 30 in Blacksburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

Virginia Tech is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Virginia vs. Virginia Tech Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Virginia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia+7.5 -11048.5 -110+240
Virginia Tech -7.5 -11048.5 -110-300

Virginia vs Virginia Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia and Virginia Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Virginia vs Virginia Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Virginia Player Prop Bets Today

  • Tyler Neville has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Malachi Fields has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Anthony Colandrea has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Kobe Pace has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Anthony Colandrea has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Virginia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Virginia Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kyron Drones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jaylin Lane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Stephen Gosnell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Benji Gosnell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 13.28% ROI).

  • Virginia is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -3.02% ROI
  • Virginia is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
  • Virginia is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -16.47% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Virginia is 1-4 (.200) when not forcing a fumble this season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .504

Virginia is 2-10 (.167) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .467

Virginia is 5-12 (.294) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .470

Virginia is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia

Virginia Tech is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525

Virginia Tech is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .504

Virginia Tech is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Virginia Tech is 2-9 (.182) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Matchup Notes for Virginia vs. Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,054 passing yards in 11 games (just 186.7 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 263.9 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Virginia Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,054 passing yards in 11 games (just 186.7 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 263.9 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia’s WRs has 335 receptions in 23 games (14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s WRs has 335 receptions in 23 games (14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia has 473 receptions in 23 games (20.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia’s WRs has 335 receptions in 23 games (14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s WRs has 335 receptions in 23 games (14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia has 473 receptions in 23 games (20.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.5 receptions (52 Rec/15 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.2 receptions (26 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech RBs have averaged 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (134 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Virginia Tech has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,054 passing yards in 11 games (just 186.7 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 263.9 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Virginia Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,054 passing yards in 11 games (just 186.7 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 263.9 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 2,059 passing yards in 11 games (just 187.2 YPG) this season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 263.9 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia has no interceptions (83 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.6

Virginia averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (377 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.3

Virginia has averaged a sack every 26.6 pass attempts (745 Pass Attempts/28 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Virginia has averaged a sack every 26.6 pass attempts (745 Pass Attempts/28 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9

Virginia has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (28/745) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Virginia Tech Hokies Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (69/674) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Virginia Tech did not sack opposing QBs on any of 35 pass attempts last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Virginia Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (88 completions/164 attempts) in the 1st half this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Virginia Tech has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 333 attempts (4%) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Virginia Tech did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.