Washington vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Iowa linebacker Jay Higgins (34) gets set for a play during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Michigan State, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 26-16. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:09 PM
  • The Iowa is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Washington
  • The Washington vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Washington Huskies (4-2) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Washington vs. Iowa Over/Under is 41.5 total points.

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Washington vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington+2.5 -10541.5 -110+115
Iowa -2.5 -11541.5 -110-140

Washington vs Iowa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.05 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Addison Ostrenga has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Seth Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).

  • Washington is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -8.94% ROI
  • Washington is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -80% ROI
  • Washington is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 72.73% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -6.59% ROI).

  • Iowa is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 2.4% ROI
  • Iowa is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Iowa is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Washington is 14-3 (.824) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .440

Washington is undefeated (17-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .644

Washington is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535

Washington is 17-2 (.895) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .666

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Iowa is undefeated (7-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .760

Iowa is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .682

Iowa is 7-1 (.875) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691

Iowa is 8-1 (.889) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .683

Matchup Notes for Washington vs. Iowa

Iowa has averaged just 9.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 9.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa has 244 receptions in 19 games (just 12.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Power 5 skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa has averaged just 9.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Power 5 skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.6 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.6 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s TEs has gained 319 yards on 26 receptions (12.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 11.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Washington’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has averaged just 9.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 9.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa WRs have averaged just 5.6 receptions per game (106/19) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.0

Iowa has 244 receptions in 19 games (just 12.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Power 5 skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 18.8 receptions (244 Rec/13 TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0

Iowa TEs have been targeted 8 times in short yardage situations this season– most among Big Ten Teams

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (79 completions/169 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 60%

Washington has allowed opponents to catch just 79 of 166 passes (48% Reception Pct) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

Washington opponents has averaged 5.9 Passing Attempts per TD (83 Pass Attempts/14 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7

Washington has allowed one rushing TD on 20 carries in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (79 completions/169 attempts) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Iowa has allowed one rushing TD on 143 carries this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 24.4

Iowa has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 641 carries (80.1 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 27

Iowa allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS

Iowa has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 641 carries (80.1 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 24.1


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