Washington vs Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Nov 26, 2024, 2:37 PM

min read

FILE - Oregon coach Dan Lanning reacts to a play against BYU during the first half of an NCAA college football game Sept. 17, 2022, in Eugene, Ore. Oregon and head coach Dan Lanning have agreed to a contract extension that will extend his deal through the 2028 season. The Oregon Board of Trustees unanimously approved the terms of the contract Thursday, July 27, 2023. Lanning’s new deal will pay him a total of $45 million in base salary over six years. (AP Photo/Andy Nelson, File)

(AP Photo/Andy Nelson)

Oregon is a -19.5 point favorite vs. Washington
Washington vs. Oregon Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
TV Channel: NBC

The Washington Huskies (6-5) visit Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks (11-0) on Nov. 30 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Washington vs. Oregon Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Oregon vs Washington & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Washington vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Washington	+19.5 -110	50.5 -110	+650
Oregon	-19.5 -110	50.5 -110	-1000

Washington vs Oregon Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 90.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington vs Oregon Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 75.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Oregon vs Washington and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer

Washington Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
Washington has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Oregon Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 4% ROI)
Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington Player Prop Bets Today

Giles Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Denzel Boston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jonah Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jonah Coleman has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Will Rogers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today

Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jordan James has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Dillon Gabriel has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jordan James has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Tez Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -4.53% ROI).

Washington is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -3.05% ROI
Washington is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Washington is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI).

Oregon is 10-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 6.17% ROI
Oregon is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Oregon is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Washington is undefeated (19-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .782

Washington is 11-2 (.846) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .504

Washington is 15-2 (.882) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .605

Washington is 15-2 (.882) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Oregon is undefeated (17-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .679

Oregon is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .641

Oregon is undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .650

Oregon is 12-1 (.923) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .485

Matchup Notes for Washington vs. Oregon

Oregon’s QBs has thrown for 3,095 passing yards in 11 games (281.4 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS teams. Washington’s defense has allowed just 160.5 passing yards per game this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon’s WRs has 411 receptions in 25 games (16.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon’s offense has thrown for 3,095 passing yards in 11 games (281.4 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed just 160.5 passing yards per game this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington has averaged 12.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 364 attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s TEs has gained 548 yards on 49 receptions (11.2 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon TEs have been targeted 20 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Oregon TEs have 25 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among Big Ten Teams

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (175 completions/326 attempts) this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 62%

Washington has tackled opponents for a loss on just 41 of 391 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Washington has averaged a sack every 21.5 pass attempts (905 Pass Attempts/42 Sacks) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.9

Washington opponents has averaged 5.6 Passing Attempts per TD (106 Pass Attempts/19 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.8

Washington has tackled opponents for a loss on just 92 of 865 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (27 completions/57 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 64%

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (180 completions/335 attempts) this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 62%

Oregon has allowed opponents to catch just 180 of 334 passes (54% Reception Pct) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 62%

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%