Washington vs Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

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Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano watches from the sideline during the second half of a NCAA college football game against Ohio State, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. Ohio State won 35-16. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2024, 2:25 PM
  • The Rutgers is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Washington
  • The Washington vs. Rutgers Total(Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Washington Huskies (3-1) visit SHI Stadium to take on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-0) on Sep. 27 in Piscataway, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Rutgers is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Washington vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Washington vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington+2.5 -11044.5 -110+115
Rutgers -2.5 -11044.5 -110-135

Washington vs Rutgers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Rutgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington vs Rutgers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.05 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Washington is undefeated (9-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536

Washington is undefeated (9-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .507

Washington is 13-2 (.867) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .445

Washington is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .632

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Rutgers is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .448

Rutgers is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .393

Rutgers is 5-2 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .620

Rutgers is 9-3 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .651

Matchup Notes for Washington vs. Rutgers

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 496 yards on 29 receptions (17.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 7.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 113 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.7 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 113 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.7 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 7.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s TEs has gained 209 yards on 15 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 125 attempts this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.8% of attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington’s offense has thrown for 1,167 passing yards in 4 games (291.8 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 134.7 passing yards per game this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington QBs have 95 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Washington’s TEs has gained 209 yards on 15 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington Skill Players have 95 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 125 attempts this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.8% of attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington Skill Players have 6,322 receiving yards since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 496 yards on 29 receptions (17.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 7.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers Skill Players have averaged just 3.5 yards per reception (14 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.4

Rutgers TEs have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Rutgers TEs were targeted 5 times in the Red Zone last week– most among Big Ten Teams

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 113 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.7 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (80 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.8

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (52 completions/120 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 58%

Washington has averaged a sack every 21.2 pass attempts (699 Pass Attempts/33 Sacks) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.1

Washington has allowed opponents to catch just 52 of 119 passes (44% Reception Pct) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Washington opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (80 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (34 completions/47 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 58%

Rutgers has averaged 1.5 sacks per game since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2.4

Rutgers has allowed 108.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 167.6

Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Rutgers has tackled opponents for a loss on just 63 of 532 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.


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