Washington St vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

San Diego State's Kenan Christon (23) returns a kick during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Corvallis, Ore. (AP Photo/Mark Ylen)
(AP Photo/Mark Ylen)
  • The Washington St is a -14.5 point favorite vs. San Diego State
  • The Washington State vs. San Diego State Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The Washington State Cougars (6-1) visit Snapdragon Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (3-3) on Oct. 26 in San Diego, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.

Washington St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Washington State vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Washington State vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington State-14.5 -10557.5 -105-650
San Diego State +14.5 -11557.5 -115+450

Washington State vs San Diego State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 84.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington St and San Diego State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington State vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+2.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington State Player Prop Bets Today

  • John Mateer has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Josh Meredith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Wayshawn Parker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Kris Hutson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Kyle Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Washington State is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 25.06% ROI
  • Washington State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Washington State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Diego State is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • San Diego State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -19.23% ROI
  • San Diego State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • San Diego State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State

Washington State is undefeated (6-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .625

Washington State is 11-1 (.917) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Washington State is undefeated (10-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .642

Washington State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .611

San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

San Diego State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .352

San Diego State is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

San Diego State is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .417

San Diego State is 4-9 (.308) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .467

Matchup Notes for Washington State vs. San Diego State

San Diego State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 18 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Diego State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 18 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 3,272 passing yards in 18 games (just 181.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 249.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has gained 1,752 yards on 119 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has 381 receptions in 19 games (20.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 1,983 yards on 137 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Power 5 skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State Punters have punted 0.0 times per game this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.0

Washington State’s WRs has gained 1,752 yards on 119 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has 381 receptions in 19 games (20.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Skill Players have averaged 18.7 yards per reception (411 yards/22 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.3

Washington State has gained 1,983 yards on 137 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Power 5 skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

San Diego State WRs have averaged 34.7 yards per reception (104 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

San Diego State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 18 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Diego State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 18 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 3,272 passing yards in 18 games (just 181.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 249.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (24 completions/36 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Washington State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 13 of their 212 carries (6%) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

Washington State has allowed 12 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Washington State has allowed 12 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most in FBS

Washington State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 13 of their 212 carries (6%) this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 4%

San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State has averaged 4.2 sacks per game this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

San Diego State has allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (590 yards / 60 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.2

San Diego State has averaged 4.2 sacks per game this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

San Diego State has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 27 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

San Diego State has sacked opponents 25 times this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.