- Jacksonville State is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Western Kentucky
- Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-4) visit AmFirst Stadium to take on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (8-4) on Dec. 6 in Jacksonville, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Jacksonville State is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
Bet now on Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Western Kentucky | +3.5 -110 | 58.5 -115 | +140 |
| Jacksonville State | -3.5 -110 | 58.5 -105 | -165 |
Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 61.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky and all games with BetMGM
Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Jacksonville State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Western Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today
- Elijah Young has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kisean Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Easton Messer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- River Helms has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tre Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Michael Pettway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Huff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.43% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.65 Units / -4.91% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 4.75% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.32% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.65 Units / -20.15% ROI
Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky is 7-2 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .566
Western Kentucky is 12-4 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Western Kentucky is 1-6 (.143) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .427
Western Kentucky is 7-2 (.778) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .638
Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State is 12-5 (.706) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .381
Jacksonville State is 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .611
Jacksonville State is 13-5 (.722) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .523
Jacksonville State is 12-3 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .670
Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State has gained 2,126 yards on 157 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s RBs has averaged 12.1 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 11.0 RAC to RBs this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 2,126 passing yards in 12 games (just 177.2 YPG) this season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 175.5 passing yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s RBs have 34.4 receiving yards per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 17.4 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Caden Veltkamp (WKY) has completed 71.4% of passes (30/42) in the red zone this season — T-5th-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed a completion rate of just 41.9% when defending in the red zone this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky WRs have been targeted 128 times with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky QBs have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky RBs had 289 receiving yards on 3rd down in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 18.0 receptions per game (449/25) since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State TEs have averaged 22.8 yards per reception (137 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Jacksonville State has gained 2,126 yards on 157 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State Skill Players have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (481 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9
Jacksonville State’s RBs has averaged 12.1 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 11.0 RAC to RBs this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State QBs have averaged 97.9 rushing yards per game (2,447/25) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 27.4
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky’s opponents has attempted just 23.5 passes per game this season– 2nd-lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.1
Western Kentucky has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (44 completions/89 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Western Kentucky has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (44 completions/89 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 60%
Western Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on just 124 of 1,027 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Western Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on just 63 of 517 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (457 yards / 168 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Jacksonville State has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (457 yards / 168 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8
Jacksonville State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 95 of 1,021 carries (9%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 9 of 47 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (13 completions/31 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
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