Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 08, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Dodgers are -110 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-110) on Monday, May 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Dodgers vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 21-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 16-18 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +145O 8.5 +100-110
Brewers +1.5 -175U 8.5 -120-110

Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • James Outman has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)

Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Will Smith 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Jesse Winker 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Christian Yelich 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Brewers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Will Smith 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Jesse Winker 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Christian Yelich 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Brewers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Will Smith 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Jesse Winker 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Christian Yelich 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Brewers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddy Peralta 6.5 +105 6.5 -140
Tony Gonsolin 4.5 +100 4.5 -130
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+3.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 18-17 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 9.22% ROI).

  • 21-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -3.35% ROI
  • 19-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 6.71% ROI
  • 15-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -14.34% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 16-18 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -4.53% ROI).

  • 19-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 15-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -14.64% ROI
  • 18-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 4.24% ROI

Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .545 (533 PA’s) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .706 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .176 (86-for-488) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .205 (64 Total Bases / 312 ABs) on non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .370 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OBP of just .244 (533 PA’s) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 33% (36/109) against Freddy Peralta this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (30/92) against Freddy Peralta this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .037 (1-for-27) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .171 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .097 (52-for-537) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 99th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Dodgers are 7-53 (.117) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Dodgers are 32-22 (.593) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

The Dodgers are 24-89 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.

The Dodgers are just 0-8 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Brewers are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Brewers are 13-1 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .851.

The Brewers are 30-34 (.469) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Brewers are 10-69 (.127) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .777 (2,322 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,497 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Dodgers are batting just .191 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

Dodgers hitters have 125 extra-base hits out of 268 total hits (47%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Brewers hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (315 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

The Brewers are batting just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Dodgers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 505 of 7,168 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 98 of 1,303 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.35 runs per game (328/98) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
  • Luis Urías (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
  • Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Back, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.