- The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Reds
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May, 1.92 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft, 7.20 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+145) on Sunday, March 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Goodyear.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Dodgers vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Dodgers are 5-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 5-5 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | O 10.5 -115 | -175 |
| Reds | +1.5 -110 | U 10.5 -105 | +145 |
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Dodgers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Edwin Rios has hit the RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Edwin Rios has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Edwin Rios has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Edwin Rios has hit the Runs Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+1.80 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alejo Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 82 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 83 away games (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 4-7 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -24.14% ROI).
- 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 4.88% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -3.28% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -2.92% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 13.57% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -24.2% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 23% (27/120) against Dustin May over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Dustin May had a strike rate of just 61% (140/230) over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft threw fastballs 77% of the time (989/1,286) in non-two strike counts last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft had an ERA of 8.37 (47.1 IP) against division opponents last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — 0 Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to August 13rd, 2022 — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 14% (28/202) against Graham Ashcraft on elevated fastballs last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Reds are just 6-176 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Reds are just 11-76 (.126) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Reds are just 24-83 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters slugged just .366 against RHP last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .334 (6,050 PA’s) at home since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Reds hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (7,469 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,229 of 12,419 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers walked 612 of 6,220 batters (10%) last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,442 of 14,544 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Reds vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Dodgers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
