- The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Red Sox are 19-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 16-17 ATS.
Red Sox vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 1-1, 0.82 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 4-1, 3.47 ERA
Red Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -120 | +165 |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 +100 | -200 |
Red Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 16 games (+11.50 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 away games (+7.55 Units / 121% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+17.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.55 Units / 66% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+11.50 Units / 64% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+6.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.53 Units / 24% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 19-17 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -3.76% ROI).
- 19-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 5.07% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -19.59% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 11.39% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 16-17 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -2.48% ROI).
- 21-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 3.43% ROI
- 12-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -23.82% ROI
- 19-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 16.12% ROI
Braves vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Braves vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .177 (385 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% (53/204) against Nick Pivetta on inside fastballs since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 31% (72 SO in 229 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .122 (44-for-360) against Nick Pivetta with two-strikes since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .173 — 96th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
9 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
9 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.1 MPH this season (92 balls in play) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.1 MPH (92 batted balls) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Red Sox are just 20-32 (.385) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Red Sox are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 1-88 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Red Sox are just 38-67 (.362) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 29-35 (.453) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Braves are 34-53 (.391) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Braves are 81-43 (.653) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .272 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of 1.333 (244 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.050.
The Red Sox are batting .279 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Red Sox hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 91 of 1,327 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.05 (175.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.04.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 17 of 323 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.6 MPH (774 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.6 MPH this season (774 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves have won 75% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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