- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / Yankees TV Channel: SCHN | AMZP
The Houston Astros (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Astros are 12-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 18-19 ATS.
Astros vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 0-3, 8.27 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 2-2, 3.17 ERA
Astros vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -155 | O 9.5 -115 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -105 | -150 |
Astros vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+21.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.10 Units / 187% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+18.30 Units / 141% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+13.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 12-23 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -25.34% ROI).
- 12-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.85 Units / -37.38% ROI
- 12-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -27.84% ROI
- 21-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 19.8% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 18-19 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 2.03% ROI).
- 24-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 10.13% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -16.85% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 8.4% ROI
Yankees vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Yankees vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Yankees vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Yankees vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (19/49) against Spencer Arrighetti this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 (8 GB hits out of 16 GBs) against Spencer Arrighetti this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has an ERA of 8.27 (16.1 IP)this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 3.91 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .409 (9-for-22) against Spencer Arrighetti’s elevated fastball this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .210 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (28/88) against Carlos Rodon this season — 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (28/88) against Carlos Rodon this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (119 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Carlos Rodon has allowed an OBP of .310 (84 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .237 — 11th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Astros are 107-71 (.601) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Astros are 43-28 (.606) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Astros are just 19-78 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Astros are 63-43 (.594) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 41-14 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Yankees are 65-38 (.631) after a home win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Yankees are 63-18 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 710 strikeouts in 4,033 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 389 strikeouts in 2,183 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 225 strikeouts in 1,343 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Yankees are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,706 of their 7,381 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees hitters have 21 extra-base hits out of 87 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Yankees have won 61% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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