- Valparaiso (9-13) are -9.5 point favorites vs Evansville (4-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN3
The Evansville Purple Aces (4-18) visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons (9-13) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Valparaiso.
Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Evansville vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 137.5 total points.
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Evansville vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Evansville | +9.5 -110 | O 137.5 -105 | +360 |
| Valparaiso | -9.5 -110 | U 137.5 -115 | -500 |
Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Valparaiso will win this game with 70.9% confidence.
Evansville vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Evansville and Valparaiso, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has gone 9-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / 0% ROI).
- 6-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -20.61% ROI
- 16-6 when betting the Over for +9.4 Units / 38.84% ROI
- 6-16 when betting the Under for -11.6 Units / -47.93% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has gone 8-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.42% ROI
- 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville is shooting 61% from the free throw line (237/386) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Evansville has an eFG% of 45% this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Evansville has averaged 62.0 points per game (1,363 points/22 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Evansville has a TS% of 42% this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso is shooting 30% from three (137/449) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Valparaiso has averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,506 points/1,273 shots) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Valparaiso has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso has 562 defensive rebounds this season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 6.4 steals per game (141 steals/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Evansville has allowed 8.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Evansville has allowed 75.2 points per game (1,654 points/22 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 67.6
Evansville has forced 12.3 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.2 steals per game (137 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,422/3,144) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Valparaiso has allowed 72.5 points per game (1,594 points/22 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 67.6
Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (247 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8
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