Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 12:40 PM
  • Valparaiso (9-13) are -9.5 point favorites vs Evansville (4-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The Evansville Purple Aces (4-18) visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons (9-13) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Valparaiso.

Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Evansville vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Evansville vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Evansville+9.5 -110O 137.5 -105+360
Valparaiso -9.5 -110U 137.5 -115-500

Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Valparaiso will win this game with 70.9% confidence.

Evansville vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Evansville and Valparaiso, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Valparaiso vs Evansville and all games with BetMGM


  • Evansville has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Evansville has gone 9-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -20.61% ROI
  • 16-6 when betting the Over for +9.4 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • 6-16 when betting the Under for -11.6 Units / -47.93% ROI

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has gone 8-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.42% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI

Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville is shooting 61% from the free throw line (237/386) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Evansville has an eFG% of 45% this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Evansville has averaged 62.0 points per game (1,363 points/22 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Evansville has a TS% of 42% this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso is shooting 30% from three (137/449) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Valparaiso has averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,506 points/1,273 shots) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Valparaiso has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Valparaiso has 562 defensive rebounds this season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 6.4 steals per game (141 steals/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Evansville has allowed 8.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Evansville has allowed 75.2 points per game (1,654 points/22 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 67.6

Evansville has forced 12.3 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 6.2 steals per game (137 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,422/3,144) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Valparaiso has allowed 72.5 points per game (1,594 points/22 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 67.6

Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (247 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.