- The Duke is a -3 point favorite vs. Florida St
- The Florida State vs. Duke Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Florida State Seminoles (1-5) visit Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (5-1) on Oct. 18 in Durham, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Duke is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Florida State vs. Duke Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Florida State vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida State | +3 -115 | 42.5 -110 | +135 |
| Duke | -3 -105 | 42.5 -110 | -165 |
Florida State vs Duke Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 58.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida St and Duke, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida State vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Duke Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+6.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida State Player Prop Bets Today
- Roydell Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Lawrance Toafili has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Malik Benson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida St is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -36.57% ROI).
- Florida State is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.9 Units / -87.11% ROI
- Florida State is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
- Florida State is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Duke is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 13.08% ROI).
- Duke is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 17.5% ROI
- Duke is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Duke is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Duke
Florida State is undefeated (12-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .687
Florida State is undefeated (11-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .645
Florida State is 13-1 (.929) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .627
Florida State is 10-4 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State
Duke is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .307
Duke is 12-6 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .451
Duke is 11-2 (.846) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .680
Duke is 12-4 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .645
Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. Duke
Duke’s TEs has 14 receptions in 6 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs has 14 receptions in 6 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Duke has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch this season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
Florida State have just 215.5 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Duke’s defense has allowed just 157.7 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Florida State’s offense has averaged just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida State RBs have averaged just 1.7 Yards per Carry (33 yards/19 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Florida State RBs have averaged 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (55 yards / 23 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Florida State have just 215.5 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Duke’s defense has allowed just 157.7 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Florida State RBs have averaged 64.7 rushing yards per game (388/6) this season– 5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 128.9
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends
Duke TEs have averaged 39.0 yards per reception (78 yards/2 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.0
Duke’s TEs has 14 receptions in 6 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Duke TEs have caught just 1 of 8 passes (12% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
Duke’s TEs has 14 receptions in 6 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Duke TEs have averaged 39.0 yards per reception (78 yards/2 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2
Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 13 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Florida State allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (201 completions/415 attempts) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Florida State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (63/578) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Florida State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 13 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (304 completions/578 attempts) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Duke has allowed just 8.2 yards per completion (946 yards/115 completions) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4
Duke has allowed just 8.2 yards per completion (946 yards/115 completions) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11.7
Duke has allowed just 9.8 yards per completion (3,686 yards/375 completions) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Duke has allowed just 9.8 yards per completion (3,686 yards/375 completions) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11.8
Duke has allowed 17 touchdowns on 375 completions (22.1 Completions Per TD) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 12.5
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