Formula 1 Odds: 2 Predictions for the Sao Paulo Grand Prix

min read
Mercedes' Lewis Hamilton of Britain, celebrates his second place finish in the Formula One Mexico Grand Prix auto race at the Hermanos Rodriguez racetrack in Mexico City,
(Tomas Stargardter/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Nov 02, 2023, 10:45 AM
  • The creative angle to back Red Bull’s Max Verstappen.
  • A cross-sport Formula 1 & NFL Parlay for Sunday.

A week removed from the Mexico Grand Prix, Formula 1 odds are back available for this weekend’s Sao Paulo Grand Prix. 

With only three races left in the 2023 season and the driver’s championship locked up by Max Verstappen – his third straight title – here’s how the outright odds shape up for Sunday’s race. 

Additionally, prospective bettors can find my two betting predictions for the weekend’s action below. 

Formula 1 Odds – Sao Paolo Grand Prix

Formula 1 DriverSao Paulo Grand Prix Winner Odds
Max Verstappen-300
Lewis Hamilton+600
Lando Norris+1200
Sergio Perez+1600
Charles Leclerc+1600
George Russell+1600
Carlos Sainz+2200
Oscar Piastri+2500
All Other Drivers+15000 or Higher

Formula 1 Betting Prediction No. 1

Max Verstappen Qualifying Winner (-155) 

Admittedly, it’s a steep price to lay with the three-time World Champion, but it’s a great buy-low spot. 

Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc has claimed pole position in two straight races, but Friday’s qualifying session should feature wet weather. 

That undoubtedly gives an advantage to Verstappen, who has previously expressed comfort driving in the rain. 

The Dutchman demonstrated that by claiming pole at Silverstone, another high-downforce track correlative to Interlagos. 

Plus, Verstappen has enjoyed success at this circuit in previous visits. 

A fluky qualifying session last year saw Verstappen start P2, but Verstappen posted the fastest starting time in 2019 and ranked second in 2021. 

In terms of race results, Verstappen’s run of four straight finishes of P2 or better ended last year, demonstrating his comfort with the track. 

For those reasons, back him to start Sunday’s race from pole position. 

Formula 1 Betting Prediction No. 2

PARLAY: Cleveland Browns Moneyline & Mercedes Over McLaren (+103) 

Head to my NFL Week 9 Same Game Parlay picks for an explainer on the Browns, who are a tool to get Mercedes’ price down. 

Since installing a new floor prior to the United States Grand Prix, the Silver Arrows have excelled. 

Hamilton finished P2 before receiving a disqualification and followed it up with another P2 in Mexico, both of which are high-downforce tracks like Interlagos. 

Teammate George Russell has also maintained reliability, posting three straight finishes of P6 or better. 

Mercedes has also excelled in Brazil historically. 

Russell and Hamilton crossed the line P1 and P2, respectively, last year. In 2021, Hamilton and then-teammate Valtteri Bottas finished P1 and P3. 

But what gives me confidence in this play is that Oscar Piastri (McLaren) has seen his pace fall off recently. 

In his last two races, he recorded a DNF and P8. In Singapore and Hungary – two other correlative circuits – he averaged eight points per race. 

For those reasons, expect Mercedes to depart Brazil with more points.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.