- Mississippi is a -34.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
- Georgia Southern vs. Ole Miss Total(Over/Under): 67.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Georgia Southern Eagles (2-1) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Oxford, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-115).
The Georgia Southern vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 67.5 total points.
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Georgia Southern vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Georgia Southern | +34.5 -105 | 67.5 -110 | + |
| Ole Miss | -34.5 -115 | 67.5 -110 | + |
Georgia Southern vs Ole Miss Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia Southern vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 80.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Georgia Southern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Bets Today
- Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ole Miss Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Caden Prieskorn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Southern is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Georgia Southern is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.23% ROI
- Ole Miss is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI
- Ole Miss is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI
Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
Georgia Southern is winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143
Georgia Southern is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Georgia Southern is 2-7 (.222) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Georgia Southern is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .391
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern
Ole Miss is undefeated (6-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .441
Ole Miss is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .559
Ole Miss is 9-2 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .391
Ole Miss is 11-2 (.733) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .495
Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Ole Miss
Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 29.0 targets per game this season — highest among SEC WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 16.3 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.1% of 110 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs have 358.7 receiving yards per game this season — best among SEC WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 203.7 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.2% of 111 attempts this season — 27th-worst among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 9.4% of attempts this season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.
Georgia Southern’s RBs has averaged just 5.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 6.7 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern’s RBs has gained 288 yards on 48 receptions (just 6.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 6.4 Yards Per Reception to RBs since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.2% of 111 attempts this season — 27th-worst among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 9.4% of attempts this season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.
Georgia Southern Skill Players have averaged 28.7 receptions per game (776/27) since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Georgia Southern Skill Players have 58 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia Southern’s RBs has averaged just 5.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 6.7 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern WRs have just one touchdown on 80 receptions in close and late situations since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.8
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss QBs have 90 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss QBs have 21 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss have completed passes for 20+ yards on 90 of their 504 total passing attempts (18%) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Ole Miss WRs have 19 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss RBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia Southern has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 41 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Georgia Southern has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 187 of 1,030 carries (18%) since the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%
Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (26/500) since the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Georgia Southern has allowed a Completion Pct of 66% (69 completions/105 attempts) this season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: 60%
Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (3/105) this season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss has allowed no passing TDs (117 pass attempts) this season– T-best in the SEC; Average: 35.3
Ole Miss has allowed no passing TDs (117 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 23.7
Ole Miss has allowed no passing TDs (117 pass attempts) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28.8
Ole Miss has not allowed any touchdowns on 70 completions this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 14.3
Ole Miss has allowed first downs on 74% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 52%
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