- The Giants are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The San Francisco Giants (-140) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 17-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 22-18 ATS.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -105 | -140 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -115 | +115 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+8.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Dominic Fletcher has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryne Nelson has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Logan Webb | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+6.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 18-21 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -11.4% ROI).
- 17-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -18.81% ROI
- 19-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -4.6% ROI
- 19-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -3.42% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 22-18 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 6.44% ROI).
- 22-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 12.31% ROI
- 21-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 5.31% ROI
- 17-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -13.34% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 44% (24/55) against Logan Webb when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has walked 2 of 91 left-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (218/354) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (170/545) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has limited playing time.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are just 11-7 (.611) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Giants are just 5-6 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Giants are just 1-16 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
The Giants are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 69-18 (.793) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 84-7 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are just 20-10 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Diamondbacks are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .390 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Giants hitters have 126 strikeouts in 470 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have 605 strikeouts in 2,402 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 186 strikeouts in 990 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Giants have allowed 1.97 runs per game (77/39) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
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