Heat vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA Finals, Jun. 1

• The Nuggets are -8.5 favorites vs. the Heat
• Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
• Thursday, June 1, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
• Watch Game 1 of the NBA Finals on ABC

The Miami Heat visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Denver for Game 1 of the NBA Finals.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Heat vs Nuggets Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 45-55 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 53-43 against the spread.

Bet now on Nuggets vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM

Heat vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 69.8% confidence.

Nuggets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

Bet now on Nuggets vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+23.25 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 54 of their last 86 games (+19.32 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+18.54 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 away games (+15.57 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+12.74 Units / 25% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 64 of their last 93 games (+31.21 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 43 games at home (+27.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 68 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+10.79 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 45-55 (-15.5 Units / -13.81% ROI).

• 57-45 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 2.51% ROI)
• 51-50 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -3.57% ROI)
• 50-51 against the Under for game total points (-6.1 Units / -5.44% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 53-43 (+5.7 Units / 5.34% ROI).

• 65-32 against the Moneyline (+6.35 Units / 2.47% ROI)
• 46-50 against the Over for game total points (-9 Units / -8.43% ROI)
• 50-46 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.56% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 93 games (-42.92 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 49 games at home (-16.74 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 47 games (-14.90 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 96 games (-14.67 Units / -14% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 90 games (-14.10 Units / -14% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 47 away games (-24.87 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 95 games (-21.02 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-20.85 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 47 away games (-19.21 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 100 games (-16.42 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Heat – Thursday‘s Game, Jun. 1

• Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported

• Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo suffered a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, according to Shams Charania of The Athetic.
• Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is targeting a return for Game 3 of the NBA Finals, according to Chris Haynes of Turner Sports.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

Bet now on Nuggets vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM

Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.