- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Seattle Mariners (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mariners vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 21-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 19-24 ATS.
Mariners vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -150 |
Mariners vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+17.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+16.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+14.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Braves vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Braves vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Bryce Elder | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+3.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 43 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 21-22 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -1.8% ROI).
- 21-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -11.2% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -5.18% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -3.97% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 19-24 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -9.14% ROI).
- 27-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 8.1% ROI
- 26-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.75 Units / 18.74% ROI
- 16-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.95 Units / -27.04% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .268 (64 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .742 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (6/35) against Bryce Miller — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (7-for-63) against Bryce Miller this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (9 Total Bases / 63 ABs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .423 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (47/75) against Bryce Elder this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (4-for-35) against Bryce Elder with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (75/132) against Bryce Elder this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (9/52) against Bryce Elder on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mariners are just 15-5 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Mariners are 16-9 (.640) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 4-17 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Mariners are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Braves are 26-19 (.578) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Braves are just 4-10 (.286) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Braves are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 8-7 (.533) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .214 (192 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .950 (520 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Braves hitters are slugging .579 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Braves have scored first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves are batting .275 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 115 of 1,605 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .348 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Mariners pitchers have walked 47 of 901 batters (5%) over the last 30 days (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Braves pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Luetge (Braves): Bicep, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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