Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2023, 9:24 AM
  • The Suns (25-25) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (26-24)
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Thursday, January 26, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Dallas Mavericks visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Phoenix.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Suns Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 16-31 against the spread, while the Suns are 26-23 against the spread.


Bet now on Suns vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Mavericks vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+1.5 -110O 221.5 -105+100
Phoenix Suns -1.5 -110U 221.5 -105-120

Suns vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Suns vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 99 games (+21.88 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.74 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+6.51 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 91 games (+11.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+11.52 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 16-31 (-18.05 Units / -33.52% ROI).

  • 25-24 against the Moneyline (-19.75 Units / -18.87% ROI)
  • 28-21 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 21-28 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 26-23 (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI).

  • 25-24 against the Moneyline (-9.05 Units / -8.21% ROI)
  • 23-25 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -8.35% ROI)
  • 25-23 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.56% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 68 games (-34.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 96 games (-20.99 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 73 games (-20.90 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 75 games (-19.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-18.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 99 games (-34.19 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-25.54 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.36 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 54 games (-23.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 94 games (-22.03 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Mavericks are 86-20 (.811) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .679

The Mavericks are 63-11 (.851) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692

The Mavericks are 31-6 (.838) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

The Mavericks are 41-34 (.547) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Suns are 33-7 (.825) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 52-11 (.825) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 58-10 (.853) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .686

The Suns are 30-15 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .493

Injury Report: Suns vs. MavericksThursday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Cameron Payne (Suns): Payne will be re-evaluated in two weeks, according to Duane Rankin of The Arizona Republic.
  • Devin Booker (Suns): The Suns announced that Booker continues to progress and will be re-evaluated in one week.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet is out for Thursday’s (Jan.26) game against Dallas.
  • Deandre Ayton (Suns): Ayton is probable for Thursday’s (Jan.26) game against Dallas.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber hopes to return prior to the All-Star break, according to Tim MacMahon of ESPN.com.
  • Christian Wood (Mavericks): Wood suffered a fractured left thumb and will be re-evaluated in one week, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (2,014 points/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Mavericks have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (2,688 points/64 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.7

The Mavericks have averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/48 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (572 turnovers/48 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,467 assists/ 2,529 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,719 assists/ 1,253 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,609/1,947) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Suns have 20.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.6

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (251 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (829 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,481 rebounds/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,317 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,518 rebounds/48 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Suns have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (908 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have 1,037 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (261 blocks/65 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


Bet now on Suns vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.