- The Cardinals are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Watch the game on BSMW
The New York Mets (+125) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-150) on Sunday, March 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Jupiter.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mets vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Mets are 2-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 5-2 ATS.
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -150 | O 9.5 -110 | +125 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -110 | -150 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Plummer has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Nick Plummer has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.40 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Albert Pujols has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 88 of their last 165 games (+18.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 165 games (+9.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 165 games (+7.27 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -32.24% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -49.4% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 61.54% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -68.15% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 5-2 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 51.53% ROI).
- 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 21.58% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -2.67% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kodai Senga is making his MLB debut today.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery had a strike rate of just 62% (531/850) in two strike counts last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — eighth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timeslast season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 71% (366/513) of opposing batters last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — 93rd Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery threw breaking pitches down 78% of the time (478/614) last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 95th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are 89-3 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mets are just 10-28 (.263) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Mets are 87-24 (.784) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Mets are 36-9 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in 69% of their home games last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters struck out just 382 times in 1,923 PA’s (20%) against LHP last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .336 (4,294 PA’s) against RHP last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mets batted .259 last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers walked 84 of 1,449 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
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