- The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
- Mets starting pitcher: Joseph Lucchesi
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
- Watch the game on MASN
The New York Mets (-150) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mets vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 24-14 ATS.
Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Mets | -1.5 +105 | O 9 +100 | -150 |
Nationals | +1.5 -125 | U 9 -120 | +125 |
Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Alex Call | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Joey Meneses | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Alex Call | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Francisco Lindor | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Alex Call | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Joey Lucchesi | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Trevor Williams | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -155 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 66% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 26% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 15-24 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -21.03% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -19.51% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -19.58% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 10.2% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 24-14 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 18.66% ROI).
- 16-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 12.11% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -16.27% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 8.54% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
keys to the game – away
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
keys to the game – home
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 57% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Chad Kuhl (Nationals): Foot, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Brooks Raley (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Tomás Nido (Mets): Eye, D10
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