- The Mets are -155 favorites vs the Tigers
- Mets starting pitcher: Joseph Lucchesi
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Watch the game on BSDET
The New York Mets (-155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+130) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mets vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 16-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 14-13 ATS.
Mets vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -105 | -155 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -125 | U 9 -115 | +130 |
Mets vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 25% ROI)
Tigers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Tigers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Lucchesi | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 29 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+3.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 15-14 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 3.85% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -1.99% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -17.53% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 8.79% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 14-13 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -5.42% ROI).
- 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -5.74% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -10.87% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 3.38% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Lucchesi has located his fastball away 72% of the time (68/95) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (13/81) against Joey Lucchesi this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 43% of Joey Lucchesi’s pitches (81/187) this season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 47% — seventh Percentile.
Joey Lucchesi has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 11 opportunities (27%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 99th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 58% (263/451) with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
65% of Michael Lorenzen’s non-fastball strikeouts are located away since last season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 92nd Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 32 of 225 left-handed batters (14%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 16 of 109 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mets are 104-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Mets are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Mets are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Tigers are just 1-2 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Tigers are just 9-79 (.102) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Tigers are just 11-51 (.177) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Tigers are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in 68% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,994 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets hitters have just 984 strikeouts in 4,994 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets are batting .261 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (5,160 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (5,160 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .220 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .631 (6,893 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 114 of 1,081 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 26 of 252 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 150 of 1,669 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (27.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.49.
Tigers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Left Ankle, D15
- Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Brooks Raley (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
Bet now on Mets vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
