Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 12:10 PM
  • Mississippi State (14-8) are -3.5 point favorites vs Missouri (17-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Missouri Tigers (17-5) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-8) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Starkville.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Missouri vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri+3.5 -110O 139.5 -110+145
Mississippi State -3.5 -110U 139.5 -110-175

Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 56.9% confidence.

Missouri vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+20.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 34 games (+19.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has gone 13-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.78% ROI).

  • 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.8 Units / 16.07% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has gone 10-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.28% ROI
  • 6-16 when betting the Over for -11.6 Units / -47.93% ROI
  • 16-6 when betting the Under for +9.4 Units / 38.84% ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has made 655 field goals this season — most among SEC Teams

Missouri has averaged 83.3 points per game (1,832 points/22 games) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72.7

Missouri has averaged 40.7 points per game (895 points/22 games) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Missouri has averaged 9.0 assists per game (199 assists/22 games) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (128/455) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State has averaged 1.14 points per shot (1,444 points/1,265 shots) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.25

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (483 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Missouri has averaged 11.0 steals per game (242 steals/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (3,983 points/3,134 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Missouri has forced 18.2 turnovers per game (401 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams

Mississippi State has 474 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.