Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena reacts after flying out during the seventh inning of Game 1 of the baseball AL Championship Series against the Texas Rangers Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
  • The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Angels / Astros TV Channel: FDSC | SCHN | MLBN

The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Saturday, April 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Angels are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 6-7 ATS.

Angels vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 0-0, 4.66 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 1-0, 1.13 ERA

Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -165O 9 -110+125
Astros -1.5 +140U 9 -110-150

Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyren Paris has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+34.00 Units / 425% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+21.00 Units / 233% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 84 away games (+6.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 91 of their last 162 games (+19.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 162 games (+5.00 Units / 2% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 7-6 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -5.91% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 24.91% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 32.19% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -39.29% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -6.06% ROI).

  • 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -14.38% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -12.41% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 3.19% ROI

Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Mike Trout (LAA) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Jorge Soler (LAA) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Christian Walker (HOU) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625

Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Luis Rengifo (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Trout (LAA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Jorge Soler (LAA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Christian Walker (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Gusto (HOU) 3.5 -120 3.5 -110

Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 32% of the time (199/629) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (269/807) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 34% of the time (257/765) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has walked 29 of 297 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Gusto has a strike rate of 82% (46/56) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.

Ryan Gusto has a strike rate of 75% (83/111) this season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.

Ryan Gusto has a strike rate of 75% (83/111) this season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Gusto has a strike rate of 76% (28/37) in two strike counts this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 94th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 121-13 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Angels were just 32-49 (.395) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Angels are 7-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Angels are just 42-60 (.412) after a loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Astros are just 19-23 (.452) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Astros are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels hitters are slugging .598 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Angels hitters have an OPS of .967 (122 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Angels hitters are slugging .840 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Angels hitters are averaging just 3.57 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .561 (41 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Astros are batting .455 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.67 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 291 of 2,986 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 657 of 6,646 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 37% with runners in scoring position this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.