- The Astros are -275 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Angels / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Angels are 62-90 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 77-75 ATS.
Angels vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Suarez 1-2, 6.81 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 9-9, 4.29 ERA
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -105 | +220 |
| Astros | -1.5 -125 | U 8 -115 | -275 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 69.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach Neto has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 away games (+26.30 Units / 114% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+14.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 33 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.70 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+16.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 35 games (+14.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+10.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 94 games (+7.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 27 away games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 25 games (+25.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 25 games (+25.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 79 of their last 135 games (+20.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 94 games (+16.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 79 games (+10.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 77-75 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -8.73% ROI).
- 62-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.2 Units / -8.28% ROI
- 71-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.23 Units / -6.09% ROI
- 74-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -2.16% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 77-75 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 2.2% ROI).
- 82-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -4.53% ROI
- 61-87 when betting on the total runs Over for -34.08 Units / -20.51% ROI
- 87-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 11.51% ROI
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Suarez (LAA) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +135 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (16 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 0 Percentile.
Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .871 (61 Total Bases / 70 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .526 — first Percentile.
Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (77 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .437 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .406 (41-for-101) against Jose Suarez on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .261 — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 28% (189 SO in 688 PAs) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 87th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 31% (83 SO in 270 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 89th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 47% of the time (239/508) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
70% of Yusei Kikuchi’s called strikeouts are low this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Angels are just 116-12 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Angels are just 56-41 (.577) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Astros are just 0-53 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Astros are 81-58 (.583) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have scored first in just 26% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,367 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 41% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Angels are batting just .226 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 74% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Angels pitchers have walked 130 of 1,350 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 280 of 2,784 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,739 of 18,087 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since last season is 392.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (2097.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (4241.2 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Angels – No Injuries Reported
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