Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 20

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Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena reacts after flying out during the seventh inning of Game 1 of the baseball AL Championship Series against the Texas Rangers Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Angels / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSW

The Los Angeles Angels (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Angels are 62-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 78-75 ATS.

Angels vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 10-13, 3.65 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 4-6, 5.22 ERA

Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -105O 8 -115+200
Astros -1.5 -115U 8 -105-250

Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Angels vs Astros and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 24 games (+28.10 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+15.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Zach Neto has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 23 games at home (+13.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 36 games (+13.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 95 games (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 80 of their last 136 games (+21.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 95 games (+17.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+11.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 77-76 against the Run Line (-19 Units / -9.17% ROI).

  • 62-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units / -8.86% ROI
  • 71-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.33 Units / -6.7% ROI
  • 75-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.55% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 78-75 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 2.72% ROI).

  • 83-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -4.03% ROI
  • 61-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -35.18 Units / -21.03% ROI
  • 88-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 12.03% ROI

Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Zach Neto (LAA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Mickey Moniak (LAA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Victor Caratini (HOU) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Anderson (LAA) 3.5 -140 3.5 +105
Justin Verlander (HOU) 5.5 -115 5.5 -110

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (241/725) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has an average fastball velocity of just 89.4 MPH this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.8 — first Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (983/2,128) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (263/636) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .386 (27 GB hits out of 70 GBs) against Justin Verlander this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .269 (49-for-182) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 94.0 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (102 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 90.1

Justin Verlander has a strikeout rate of just 15% (5 SO in 34 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.

The Angels are just 26-121 (.177) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Angels are just 116-12 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Astros are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 161-115 (.583) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Astros are just 0-53 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Angels are hitting just .211 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Angels have scored first in just 26% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .278 (1,374 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .637 (1,374 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,557/18,099 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Astros hitters have just 951 strikeouts in 5,243 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 74% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Angels pitchers have walked 281 of 2,792 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 403 of 4,232 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 131 of 1,358 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Astros pitchers have walked 525 of 5,704 batters (9%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (2097.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since last season is 392.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4

Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Angels – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.