Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 21

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Houston Astros' Yordan Alvarez runs up the first base line against the Los Angeles Angels during the fourth inning of a baseball game Sunday, June 4, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 21, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Angels / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSW

The Los Angeles Angels (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Saturday, September 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Angels are 62-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 79-75 ATS.

Angels vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 4-7, 6.03 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 11-6, 2.88 ERA

Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -105O 8 -115+200
Astros -1.5 -115U 8 -105-250

Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 66.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 25 games (+27.10 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+14.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Zach Neto has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+11.65 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+15.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+12.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 96 games (+7.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 80 of their last 137 games (+20.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 96 games (+18.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 81 games (+12.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 77-77 against the Run Line (-20 Units / -9.6% ROI).

  • 62-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.2 Units / -9.42% ROI
  • 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.33 Units / -6.07% ROI
  • 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -2.19% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 79-75 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 3.23% ROI).

  • 84-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -3.54% ROI
  • 62-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -34.18 Units / -20.3% ROI
  • 88-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.3 Units / 11.31% ROI

Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Reid Detmers (LAA) 4.5 -130 4.5 +100
Ronel Blanco (HOU) 6.5 +110 6.5 -145

Reid Detmers has walked 5 of 27 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Reid Detmers has walked 5 of 27 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Reid Detmers has an ERA of 6.34 (61.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 4.08 — second Percentile.

Reid Detmers has allowed an OPS of 1.215 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .691 — second Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ronel Blanco has walked 27 of 239 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (75/201) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 30 of 252 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 49 of 410 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Angels are just 116-12 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Angels are just 88-60 (.595) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Angels are just 26-122 (.176) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Astros are just 0-53 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Astros are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 200-29 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Angels have scored first in just 26% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Angels have a winning percentage of just 41% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,376 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Angels pitchers have walked 132 of 1,366 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 74% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Angels pitchers have walked 570 of 5,820 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Angels – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.