- The Cubs are -200 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Cubs Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Angels / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSW | MLBN
The Los Angeles Angels (+150) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-185) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Angels are 36-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 41-47 ATS.
Angels vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 3-8, 4.71 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-3, 3.19 ERA
Angels vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -115 | +150 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -105 | -185 |
Angels vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 29 games (+20.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+16.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+12.60 Units / 90% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+14.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 76 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 48-38 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -2.73% ROI).
- 36-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -6.74% ROI
- 43-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -1.05% ROI
- 40-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -7.33% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 41-47 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -13.49% ROI).
- 40-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -9.07% ROI
- 39-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -11.79% ROI
- 46-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 3.3% ROI
Cubs vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Cubs vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kevin Pillar (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cubs vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Cubs vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Griffin Canning (LAA) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .968 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .621 (87 Total Bases / 140 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has a strikeout rate of just 16% (24 SO in 153 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has struck out just 15% (31/209) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,715/3,987) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (671/1,516) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (1,827/2,554) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (2,845/3,987) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Angels are just 94-10 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 40-44 (.476) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Angels are just 73-35 (.676) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Angels are just 18-23 (.439) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Cubs are just 3-14 (.176) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Cubs are just 2-35 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are just 3-35 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Cubs are 15-4 (.789) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,190 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .634 (1,190 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Angels have won just 44% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
Angels hitters have 2,870 strikeouts in 11,314 PA’s (25%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .214 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Cubs hitters have 82 extra-base hits out of 264 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .365 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Cubs have won just 47% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 78 of 764 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 228 of 2,198 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 963 of 9,568 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 350 of 3,638 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 72 of 780 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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