Angels vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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(AP Photo/Matt York)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -175 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Angels / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSW

The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Angels are 25-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 29-37 ATS.

Angels vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Jose Suarez 1-0, 6.54 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 3-4, 6.90 ERA

Angels vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -135O 9 -110+145
Diamondbacks -1.5 +110U 9 -110-175

Angels vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games (+18.50 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 74% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 41 games (+16.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 39 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tucker Barnhart has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 66 games (+2.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 37-28 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -3.78% ROI).

  • 25-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -12.9% ROI
  • 33-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI
  • 30-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -8.57% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 29-37 against the Run Line (-13.4 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -8.26% ROI
  • 31-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -7.37% ROI
  • 33-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.76% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jo Adell (LAA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Diamondbacks vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kevin Pillar (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Blaze Alexander (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Diamondbacks vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Kevin Pillar (LAA) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190

Diamondbacks vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Suarez (LAA) 2.5 -165 2.5 +125
Jordan Montgomery (ARI) 3.5 -145 3.5 +110

Jose Suarez has allowed an OPS of .927 (313 PA’s) since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .675 — 0 Percentile.

Jose Suarez has allowed an OBP of .391 (312 PA’s) since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .310 — first Percentile.

Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .578 (107 Total Bases / 185 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.

Jose Suarez has allowed an OPS of .977 (219 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .672 — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 16% (60 SO in 365 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .263 (88-for-334) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 13th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .255 (157-for-616) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 14th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (155 Total Bases / 334 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 13th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Angels are just 85-10 (.895) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Angels are just 39-41 (.488) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.

The Angels are just 26-151 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Diamondbacks are just 5-13 (.278) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Diamondbacks are just 141-24 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Diamondbacks are just 96-9 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Diamondbacks are 9-3 (.750) after a home loss this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (1,146 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Angels hitters have 2,722 strikeouts in 10,662 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Angels have won just 27% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.

The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

28% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .497 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.

Angels pitchers have walked 210 of 2,014 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 60 of 580 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,422 of 14,823 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.