- The Guardians are -145 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Angels / Guardians TV Channel: FDW | GDTV | WKYC
The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-145) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Angels are 25-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 28-27 ATS.
Angels vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 3-5, 3.74 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 2-5, 4.73 ERA
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -115 | -145 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 away games (+23.40 Units / 234% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+9.90 Units / 124% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+15.50 Units / 258% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+9.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 64% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 away games (+11.65 Units / 166% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+7.75 Units / 111% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in their last 7 away games (+7.45 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.24 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.44 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 26-29 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -14.93% ROI).
- 25-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.42 Units / 2.34% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.67 Units / -11.08% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 28-27 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -4.74% ROI).
- 30-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 9.52% ROI
- 26-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -3.1% ROI
- 26-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -4.32% ROI
Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yoan Moncada (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Yoan Moncada (LAA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yoan Moncada (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| José Soriano (LAA) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (126/193) against Jose Soriano this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has a strike rate of just 56% (315/563) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Jose Soriano has allowed an OBP of .439 (98 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (317/509) against Jose Soriano since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .450 against Luis Ortiz on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 12th worst among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP– 11th Percentile. Opponents batted just .238 (15-for-63) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 94th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .161 (27-for-168) against Luis Ortiz versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (32/79) against Luis Ortiz on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz allowed an OBP of .428 (152 PA’s) versus the top of the order in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .328 — first Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 135-13 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Angels are just 27-108 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Angels were just 20-81 (.198) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 26-5 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Guardians are 95-3 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Guardians are 14-0 (.933) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 4% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Angels on 1% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 0%.. *
The Angels have scored first in just 26% of their home games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Guardians hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,910 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .294 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 601 of 6,147 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Guardians pitchers this month (25 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
More MLB Reading:
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