- The Guardians are -145 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Angels / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-145) on Saturday, May 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Angels are 12-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 21-11 ATS.
Angels vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 3-2, 3.12 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 0-1, 2.30 ERA
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -115 | -145 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 away games (+21.60 Units / 135% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+15.20 Units / 95% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.65 Units / 79% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+21.70 Units / 217% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 71% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 31 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games at home (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 16-16 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -13.94% ROI).
- 12-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -19.4% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 3.8% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -13.49% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 21-11 against the Run Line (+10.25 Units / 24.73% ROI).
- 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.52 Units / 17.89% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 8.11% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -16.17% ROI
Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
5 of Reid Detmers’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (21/48) against Reid Detmers when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (57/173) against Reid Detmers on sliders since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Reid Detmers has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 19 opportunities (26%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (9/38) against Ben Lively this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (23/113) against Ben Lively this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 26% (17/66) against Ben Lively on elevated fastballs since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (76/259) against Ben Lively on pitches in the strike zone since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 58-29 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Angels are just 73-9 (.890) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 98-42 (.700) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Angels are just 132-20 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 35-123 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 24-130 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 8-80 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,033 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels have won just 36% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
Angels hitters have 3,355 strikeouts in 13,328 PA’s (25%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have chased 13% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,760 strikeouts in 9,678 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have put 45% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 125 of 1,223 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 761 of 7,528 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 184 of 1,718 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 5.87 (135.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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