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The Los Angeles Angels () visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Angels are 44-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 45-58 ATS.
Angels vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 3-10, 5.20 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 8-10, 3.55 ERA
Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | O | ||
| Mariners | U |
Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+19.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 45 games (+17.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+17.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+16.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+15.85 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 47 games (+14.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+13.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+13.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games at home (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 59 games (+9.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 100 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 52 games at home (+17.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games at home (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 43 games at home (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 57-44 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -2.11% ROI).
- 44-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -2.79% ROI
- 50-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.48% ROI
- 47-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -6.87% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 45-58 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -13.33% ROI).
- 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 41-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.2 Units / -19.83% ROI
- 58-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.85 Units / 11.39% ROI
Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Josh Rojas (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Josh Rojas (SEA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| José Soriano (LAA) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has struck out just 15% (35/239) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning has a strikeout rate of just 33% (73 SO in 224 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .522 (109 Total Bases / 209 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has a strikeout rate of just 17% (30 SO in 180 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo allowed a batting average of just .199 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 87th Percentile and .276 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs)– 13th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 72% (18/25) against Luis Castillo in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 37% (55 SO in 148 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 91st Percentile.
Luis Castillo has walked 7 of 189 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels are just 40-44 (.476) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Angels are just 99-10 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Angels are just 18-23 (.439) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Angels are just 50-20 (.714) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Mariners are 190-4 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 102-18 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Mariners are 121-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are hitting just .210 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,225 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels have won just 48% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
The Angels have scored first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .205 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 90 of 896 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 240 of 2,330 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels pitchers have walked 362 of 3,770 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .276 (3,658 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Mariners have allowed 3.06 runs per game (162/53) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.42 (275.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
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