- The Twins are -250 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Angels / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+200) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-250) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Angels are 60-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 65-79 ATS.
Angels vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 5-12, 5.04 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 14-8, 4.09 ERA
Angels vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -115 | +200 |
| Twins | -1.5 -115 | U 8 -105 | -250 |
Angels vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 69.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach Neto has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+21.20 Units / 101% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+15.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.70 Units / 65% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 32 games (+19.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+16.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+15.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+15.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 86 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games at home (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+2.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 76-68 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -6.11% ROI).
- 60-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -5.52% ROI
- 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -6.1% ROI
- 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -2.03% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 65-79 against the Run Line (-18.45 Units / -10.08% ROI).
- 76-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -4.49% ROI
- 71-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI
- 65-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -8.61% ROI
Twins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Rendon (LAA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (LAA) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -160 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .564 (128 Total Bases / 227 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has a strikeout rate of just 14% (17 SO in 118 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning has walked 8 of 48 batters (17%) over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .907 (252 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has walked 8 of 252 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (13-for-101) against Pablo Lopez’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — 97th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 28% (153 SO in 539 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (74/298) against Pablo Lopez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Angels are just 26-116 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Angels are just 104-18 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are 202-5 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are just 32-34 (.485) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Twins are 63-1 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 134-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have scored first in just 26% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Angels are batting just .245 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,346 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging just .141 with two-strikes this month (9 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .339 (182 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (9 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Twins have scored 1.75 runs per game (535/306) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Twins hitters have drawn 94 walks in 1,476 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 127 of 1,276 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 74% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Angels pitchers have walked 277 of 2,710 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 367 of 5,334 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 176 of 2,733 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 77 of 1,277 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Angels – No Injuries Reported
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