- The Guardians' Stephen Vogt won AL Manager of the Year in 2024.
- The Brewers' Pat Murphy won the award in the NL.
- 2025 MLB Manager of the Year odds will be released in the spring.
The best way to capitalize on correctly picking the surprise MLB teams is to bet on the Manager of the Year market.
That was certainly the case in 2024.
Stephen Vogt was named American League Manager of the Year in his first season at the helm for the Cleveland Guardians, leading them to a division title and an ALCS appearance.
In the National League, Milwaukee Brewers’ Pat Murphy was honored as the team’s manager in his first season. The Brewers won the NL Central.
MLB odds for this market ahead of the 2025 season will be available in the spring.
AL Manager of the Year Odds: Favorites
It made sense for the AL Manager of the Year award to go to someone from the AL Central, as three managers from that division began as the betting favorites in this market.
- A.J. Hinch (Tigers) +550
- Matt Quatraro (Royals) +700
- Stephen Vogt (Guardians) +1000
Vogt had the longest odds of the three entering the 2024 season, but I recommended betting on him in my Guardians’ season betting preview at his +1000 value. There was an upside case with Cleveland after a down year in 2023.
That proved to be a good call, as Vogt pushed all the right buttons to help Cleveland win the division by 6.5 games.
There was certainly an argument for Royals manager Matt Quatraro, who guided Kansas City to a postseason berth after losing 106 games in 2023. But the Guardians were simply better than the Royals.
That’s something to keep in mind when betting on this market in 2025. Voters pick the team who exceeded expectations the most.
I’ll be interested in Alex Cora’s odds to win AL Manager of the Year in 2025, as I’m high on the Red Sox’s chances of returning to the postseason for the first time since 2021. They are my favorite World Series odds sleeper (+3000) early in the offseason.
NL Manager of the Year Odds: Favorites
Former Brewers manager Craig Counsell started as a +600 favorite to win NL Manager of the Year in 2024, but his replacement actually won the award. Murphy was +1200 in the preseason, meaning a $10 bet would have netted a $120 payout.
Murphy led the Brewers to their third division title in the last four years. Milwaukee has made the playoffs six times in the past seven seasons.
I’m mad at myself for missing on Murphy. As mentioned in my Brewers’ season betting preview, their win total was my favorite preseason bet. I thought the market was too low on Milwaukee’s chances, considering the team’s reputation.
I just wish I had believed more in their upside. But that’s a lesson for next year.
The NL Central could produce another Manager of the Year winner in 2025.
Counsell’s Cubs are due for a bounce-back campaign. The Cincinnati Reds also have higher aspirations after bringing Terry Francona out of retirement.
2024 AL Manager of the Year Voting
| Rank | Manager | Team | Vote Points | 1st-Place Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Vogt | Guardians | 142 | 27 |
| 2 | Matt Quatraro | Royals | 73 | 2 |
| 3 | A.J. Hinch | Tigers | 41 | 1 |
| 4 | Joe Espada | Astros | 6 | 0 |
| 5 | Aaron Boone | Yankees | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | Mark Kotsay | Athletics | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | Rocco Baldelli | Twins | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Alex Cora | Red Sox | 1 | 0 |
2024 NL Manager of the Year Voting
| Rank | Manager | Team | Vote Points | 1st-Place Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat Murphy | Brewers | 144 | 27 |
| 2 | Mike Shildt | Padres | 70 | 1 |
| 3 | Carlos Mendoza | Mets | 35 | 1 |
| 4 | Torey Lovullo | Diamondbacks | 8 | 0 |
| 5 | Rob Thomson | Phillies | 5 | 1 |
| 6 | Brian Snitker | Braves | 4 | 0 |
| 7 | Dave Roberts | Dodgers | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | Oliver Marmol | Cardinals | 1 | 0 |
List of AL & NL Manager of the Year Winners
| Year | AL Winner | NL Winner |
| 1983 | Tony La Russa | Tommy Lasorda |
| 1984 | Sparky Anderson | Jim Frey |
| 1985 | Bobby Cox | Whitey Herzog |
| 1986 | John McNamara | Hal Lanier |
| 1987 | Sparky Anderson | Buck Rodgers |
| 1988 | Tony La Russa | Tommy Lasorda |
| 1989 | Frank Robinson | Don Zimmer |
| 1990 | Jeff Torborg | Jim Leyland |
| 1991 | Tom Kelly | Bobby Cox |
| 1992 | Tony La Russa | Jim Leyland |
| 1993 | Gene Lamont | Dusty Baker |
| 1994 | Buck Showalter | Felipe Alou |
| 1995 | Lou Piniella | Don Baylor |
| 1996 | Johnny Oates & Joe Torre | Bruce Bochy |
| 1997 | Davey Johnson | Dusty Baker |
| 1998 | Joe Torre | Larry Dierker |
| 1999 | Jimy Williams | Jack McKeon |
| 2000 | Jerry Manuel | Dusty Baker |
| 2001 | Lou Piniella | Larry Bowa |
| 2002 | Mike Scioscia | Tony La Russa |
| 2003 | Tony Peña | Jack McKeon |
| 2004 | Buck Showalter | Bobby Cox |
| 2005 | Ozzie Guillén | Bobby Cox |
| 2006 | Jim Leyland | Joe Girardi |
| 2007 | Eric Wedge | Bob Melvin |
| 2008 | Joe Maddon | Lou Piniella |
| 2009 | Mike Scioscia | Jim Tracy |
| 2010 | Ron Gardenhire | Bud Black |
| 2011 | Joe Maddon | Kirk Gibson |
| 2012 | Bob Melvin | Davey Johnson |
| 2013 | Terry Francona | Clint Hurdle |
| 2014 | Buck Showalter | Matt Williams |
| 2015 | Jeff Banister | Joe Maddon |
| 2016 | Terry Francona | Dave Roberts |
| 2017 | Paul Molitor | Torey Lovullo |
| 2018 | Bob Melvin | Brian Snitker |
| 2019 | Rocco Baldelli | Mike Shildt |
| 2020 | Kevin Cash | Don Mattingly |
| 2021 | Kevin Cash | Gabe Kapler |
| 2022 | Terry Francona | Buck Showalter |
| 2023 | Brandon Hyde | Skip Schumaker |
| 2024 | Stephen Vogt | Pat Murphy |
Managers With Most Manager of the Year Awards
Bobby Cox, Buck Showalter, and Tony La Russa are tied for the most awards (four):
Bobby Cox: 4
Buck Showalter: 4
Tony La Russa: 4
Joe Maddon: 3
Lou Piniella: 3
Dusty Baker: 3
Terry Francona: 3
Bob Melvin: 3
Teams With Most Manager of the Year Awards
The Chicago White Sox have the most awards of any team (five):
White Sox: 5
Athletics: 4
Rays: 4
Cubs: 4
Braves: 4
Orioles: 4
Twins: 4
Giants: 4
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