- The Twins are -210 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Angels / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+170) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-210) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Angels are 60-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 66-79 ATS.
Angels vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jack Kochanowicz 2-4, 4.98 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 1-3, 7.37 ERA
Angels vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 +100 | +170 |
| Twins | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -120 | -210 |
Angels vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach Neto has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+27.30 Units / 124% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+14.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 33 games (+20.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+17.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+16.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+16.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 games (+13.80 Units / 60% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 87 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games at home (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 79 games (+10.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 63 games at home (+3.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 76-69 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -6.58% ROI).
- 60-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -6.14% ROI
- 68-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -5.43% ROI
- 70-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -2.71% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 66-79 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -9.47% ROI).
- 77-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -3.95% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -9.24% ROI
Twins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Edouard Julien (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Twins vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zebby Matthews (MIN) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Jack Kochanowicz (LAA) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Kochanowicz has not struck out any hitters in 26 PA’s over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Jack Kochanowicz has struck out just 7% (2/30) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/49) against Jack Kochanowicz over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Jack Kochanowicz has not allowed a walk in his last 51 PAs against a LHH dating back to August 18th — Tyler Rogers has the longest active streak at 83.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zebby Matthews has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to August 25th — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 10.
Opponents are hitting .375 (9-for-24) against Zebby Matthews this month (1 games) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .240 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 39% (19/49) against Zebby Matthews this month (1 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (9-for-24) against Zebby Matthews on the road this month (1 games) — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 10th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Angels are just 115-12 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Angels are just 22-30 (.423) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are 135-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 203-5 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 64-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 26-102 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have scored first in just 26% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,352 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Angels hitters are slugging just .352 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .261 at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .778 (2,653 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .779 (5,678 PA’s) at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Twins hitters are slugging .447 at home since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 278 of 2,718 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 128 of 1,284 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 74% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 369 of 5,372 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 812 of 11,400 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Angels – No Injuries Reported
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