- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Astros vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / Blue Jays TV Channel: SCHN | RSN | MLBN
The Houston Astros (-145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+120) on Monday, July 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Astros are 42-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 38-45 ATS.
Astros vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 5-5, 4.43 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 0-2, 5.95 ERA
Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +115 | O 9 -120 | -145 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -135 | U 9 +100 | +120 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+15.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 52% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+9.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 40-43 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -2.29% ROI).
- 42-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -9.75% ROI
- 31-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.25 Units / -24.53% ROI
- 49-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.9 Units / 16.19% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-45 against the Run Line (-15.5 Units / -13.92% ROI).
- 38-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -13.31% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -6.86% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -2.46% ROI
Blue Jays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonathan Singleton (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (133/694) against Hunter Brown since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (43/119) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 23 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (175/294) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to April 24th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Astros are 236-169 (.583) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 109-30 (.784) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 24-12 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 13-85 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Blue Jays are 60-57 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 799 strikeouts in 4,568 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 478 strikeouts in 2,718 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,147/15,455 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 151 strikeouts in 917 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 396 strikeouts in 2,100 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,339 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are batting .258 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have walked 306 of 3,147 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays have won just just 4% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Astros vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
