- The Astros are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Astros vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Brewers TV Channel: SCHN | FDWI
The Houston Astros (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Monday, May 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Astros are 17-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 18-17 ATS.
Astros vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 2-2, 5.15 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 0-0, 5.15 ERA
Astros vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | O 8 +100 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -120 | -115 |
Astros vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+10.80 Units / 270% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+13.30 Units / 190% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.02 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 18-15 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 10.25% ROI).
- 17-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -9.03% ROI
- 15-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 16-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -1.39% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 18-17 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -4.17% ROI).
- 17-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -5.08% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -10.51% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 4.56% ROI
Brewers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Brewers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +135 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronel Blanco has walked 12% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Ronel Blanco walked 33 of 270 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 12% of batters versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 10% of batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .445 (138 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .721 — 99th Percentile.
Tobias Myers allowed a slugging percentage of .711 (32 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .150 (16-for-107) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (44/79) against Tobias Myers when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 11-4 (.733) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Astros are just 1-71 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Brewers are just 3-139 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Brewers are 55-38 (.591) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Astros (seventh best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are just 0-14 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Brewers were 40-28 (.588) after a loss in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .433 (141 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Astros are batting .347 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .415 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .569.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Brewers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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