- The Astros are -115 favorites vs the Cubs
- Astros vs Cubs Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Astros / Cubs TV Channel: TBS | MARQ | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Astros are 7-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 15-7 ATS.
Astros vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: J.P. France 0-2, 6.97 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks 0-2, 5.10 ERA
Astros vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | O 10 -105 | -115 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | U 10 -115 | -105 |
Astros vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Altuve has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.35 Units / 87% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+7.70 Units / 154% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 63% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 42% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 8-15 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -23.21% ROI).
- 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -45.47% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -23.95% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 16.44% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 15-7 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 19.3% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 14.34% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.93% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -3.92% ROI
Cubs vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Cubs vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Chas McCormick (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Abreu (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Cubs vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
J.P. France has allowed a slugging percentage of .810 (17 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .292 — 0 Percentile.
J.P. France has allowed an OPS of 1.471 (21 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .693 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (140/862) against J.P. France in non-two strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
J.P. France has allowed a slugging percentage of .947 (18 Total Bases / 19 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .390 — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Wicks has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (14 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .390 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Jordan Wicks when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (26/49) against Jordan Wicks on changeups this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .514 (18-for-35) against Jordan Wicks in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .331 — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Astros are 143-21 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 105-67 (.610) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Astros are just 10-15 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cubs are just 21-27 (.438) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 21-18 (.538) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Cubs are just 13-26 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Cubs are just 35-38 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OPS of .838 (508 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Astros hitters have just 694 strikeouts in 3,930 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 2,574 strikeouts in 13,199 PA’s (20%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .506 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .867 (184 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Cubs hitters are slugging .500 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .794 (1,901 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (90.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
The longest HR allowed by the Cubs pitchers this season traveled 460.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 441.4
Cubs vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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