- The Astros are -120 favorites vs the Guardians
- Astros vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Astros / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-118) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-102) on Saturday, June 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.
This season, the Astros are 35-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 32-30 ATS.
Astros vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 8-3, 1.83 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 5-3, 3.84 ERA
Astros vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | O 7 -102 | -118 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -185 | U 7 -118 | -102 |
Astros vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+26.50 Units / 331% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+10.65 Units / 118% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+11.87 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.14 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 34-29 against the Run Line (+7.22 Units / 9.1% ROI).
- 35-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.9% ROI
- 25-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -20.98% ROI
- 36-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 12.07% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 32-30 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -3.49% ROI).
- 33-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 7.26% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 3.24% ROI
Guardians vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Guardians vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .129 (13-for-101) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of just .185 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.7 MPH against his fastballs since the 2023 season (489 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 90.9
51% of Hunter Brown’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Williams has walked 17% of batters in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Gavin Williams has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Gavin Williams has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (137/258) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 39% (51/130) against Gavin Williams when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 67-46 (.593) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Astros are just 1-81 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Astros are 20-7 (.741) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Guardians are 97-3 (.970) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians are 103-2 (.981) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .234 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
More MLB Reading:
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