- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Mariners
- Astros vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Mariners TV Channel: SCHN | RTNW
The Houston Astros (-130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+110) on Wednesday, April 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Astros are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 4-7 ATS.
Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-1, 2.92 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 8.11 ERA
Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 -118 | -130 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -170 | U 7.5 -102 | +110 |
Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 7 away games (+7.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+4.55 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+9.55 Units / 159% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+6.80 Units / 113% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+6.45 Units / 129% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 124 games (+14.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 105 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games at home (+10.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -18.79% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -24.78% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -24.44% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 15.35% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -25.43% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -33.22% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -30.17% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 22.22% ROI
Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -295 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis F. Castillo (SEA) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 7.5 +135 | 7.5 -175 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .123 (45-for-367) against Hunter Brown with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (69/237) against Hunter Brown on fastballs since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (7-for-18) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 16% (7/45) against Hunter Brown on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 34% — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has limited playing time.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 67-10 (.870) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Astros are 96-70 (.578) on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Astros are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners are just 8-35 (.186) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Mariners are 77-16 (.828) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Mariners are just 8-15 (.348) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are slugging just .091 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .379.
Astros hitters have an OPS of just .258 (13 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Astros hitters do not have an extra-base hit out of 1 total hit against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .203 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .140 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 411 of 6,275 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
More MLB Reading:
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