- The Astros are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
- Astros vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | SCHN | MLBN
The Houston Astros (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Astros are 69-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 70-59 ATS.
Astros vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 11-7, 3.86 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 1-6, 5.82 ERA
Astros vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Astros vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+42.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+18.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+14.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+23.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+19.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+14.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+11.60 Units / 97% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 110 games (+19.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+14.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+13.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+7.45 Units / 52% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 120 games (+20.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 82 games (+12.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 114 games (+10.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 64-63 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 1.34% ROI).
- 69-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -3.47% ROI
- 50-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.65 Units / -22.08% ROI
- 74-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.75 Units / 13.31% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 70-59 against the Run Line (+20.3 Units / 13.46% ROI).
- 74-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 69-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.7 Units / 11.2% ROI
- 49-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.15 Units / -19.19% ROI
Orioles vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Shay Whitcomb (HOU) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .360 (264 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .293 (70-for-239) against Hunter Brown this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .414 (94-for-227) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .323 — first Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.8 MPH this season (367 balls in play) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Povich had a first-pitch strike rate of 84% (21/25) in his last start — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Cade Povich has a first-pitch strike rate of 84% (21/25) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Cade Povich in his last start — 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Cade Povich has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Astros are 78-53 (.595) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 120-34 (.779) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Orioles are 200-15 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Orioles are 58-46 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 29-8 (.784) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .644.
The Orioles are 60-21 (.741) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have just 895 strikeouts in 4,973 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,562 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Orioles hitters are slugging .448 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Orioles hitters are slugging .439 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .768 (3,071 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this month (19 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.8
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have won 37% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 20 of 175 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (20 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Orioles vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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