- The Astros are -120 favorites vs the Orioles
- Astros vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Astros are 69-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 71-59 ATS.
Astros vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 13-5, 3.20 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 6-4, 3.18 ERA
Astros vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Astros vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+50.90 Units / 221% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 49 games (+17.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+13.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+12.80 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 34 games (+27.65 Units / 81% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+20.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+15.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 111 games (+18.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+8.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 76% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 121 games (+21.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 115 games (+8.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 64-64 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.7% ROI).
- 69-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -4.1% ROI
- 51-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.65 Units / -21.19% ROI
- 74-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.65 Units / 12.43% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 71-59 against the Run Line (+21.3 Units / 13.97% ROI).
- 75-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.05% ROI
- 70-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.7 Units / 11.82% ROI
- 49-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.25 Units / -19.82% ROI
Orioles vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (222/371) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown his curveball 50% of the time (277/550) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (845/2,020) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (64/88) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (60/180 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.
Albert Suarez has pitched 17.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Raisel Iglesias has the longest active streak at 25.2.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Albert Suarez in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .249 — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 76% of Albert Suarez’s pitches in the zone (572/756) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 68% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Astros are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-45 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Astros are 136-90 (.602) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Astros are just 15-21 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Orioles are 55-36 (.604) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Orioles are 59-46 (.562) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 32-26 (.552) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Orioles are 33-19 (.635) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,568/11,094 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters are slugging .494 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .371.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,409/17,148 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,574 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Orioles hitters are slugging .447 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Orioles hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .449 on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.8
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 36% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
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