- The Rangers are -190 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: ATV
The Houston Astros (+155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-190) on Friday, May 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX, TX.
This season, the Astros are 22-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 24-20 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 0-1, 15.77 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 4-2, 1.78 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -105 | +155 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -115 | -190 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.60 Units / 265% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.60 Units / 207% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.92 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 23-20 against the Run Line (+5.27 Units / 9.71% ROI).
- 22-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -8.02% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -15.21% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 6.3% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 24-20 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.42% ROI).
- 24-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 3.32% ROI
- 14-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.5 Units / -37.79% ROI
- 30-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 28.87% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance McCullers has limited playing time.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 2% of batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .091 (2-for-22) against Nathan Eovaldi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 2% of right-handed batters this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .406 (97 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were 50-37 (.575) after a win in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Astros are just 3-8 (.273) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Rangers (18th best runs scored) today.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 20-30 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are 23-1 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .176.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances lasted only one pitch (926/6,107 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .788 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Rangers are batting just .142 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Astros pitchers have struck out in the zone 38% of the time this month (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%. this month (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rangers pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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