- The Astros are +100 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | SCHN
The Houston Astros (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Saturday, May 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 23-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 24-21 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 3-3, 4.11 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 4-1, 1.48 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -118 | +100 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -102 | -120 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ronel Blanco has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ronel Blanco has hit the Earned Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ronel Blanco has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ronel Blanco has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ronel Blanco has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Mahle has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 84% ROI)
- Tyler Mahle has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tyler Mahle has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 85% ROI)
- Tyler Mahle has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Tyler Mahle has hit the Strikeouts Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
Rangers Best Bets Today:
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 24-20 against the Run Line (+6.27 Units / 11.3% ROI).
- 23-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -4.99% ROI
- 19-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -12.79% ROI
- 23-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 3.9% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 24-21 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.25% ROI).
- 24-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.08% ROI
- 15-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -34.97% ROI
- 30-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 26.1% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle (TEX) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .147 (33-for-225) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 12% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 11% of batters versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .155 (43-for-278) against Ronel Blanco versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .139 (11-for-79) against Tyler Mahle this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of just .497 (189 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .692 — 97th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (43 Total Bases / 173 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has located his breaking pitches away 82% of the time (66/80) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 15-6 (.714) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 1-76 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are 110-77 (.588) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rangers are 49-10 (.831) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Rangers are 84-52 (.618) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Astros (10th best runs scored) today.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Astros are batting .344 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Astros hitters have put 47% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .562 (473 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Rangers are batting just .302 in hitter’s counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Astros pitchers have struck out in the zone 37% of the time this month (14 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. this month (14 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Batters facing the Rangers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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